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Aston Villa U19 vs Bayern U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Birmingham
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Katsukunya T.
58'
Puljic L.
58'
Sub
Nasrawe J. In: Richter L.
Out: Nasrawe J.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 game between Aston Villa U19 and Bayern U19 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayern U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Aston Villa U19
20%
Draws
60%
Bayern U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayern U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayern U19 come out ahead of Aston Villa U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bayern U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Aston Villa U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa U19 Bayern U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Aston Villa U19 vs Bayern U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aston Villa U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Bayern U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusi Asare J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa U19 10 / 100
Bayern U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa U19 Bayern U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aston Villa U19 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Bayern U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Aston Villa U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa U19 VS Bayern U19
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa U19

(Home)
08 Sept
Club Brugge U19
5 : 3
Aston Villa U19
09 Dec
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 1
Aston Villa U19
26 Nov
Aston Villa U19
2 : 2
AZ Alkmaar U19
05 Nov
Aston Villa U19
6 : 0
Skenderbeu Korca U19
21 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca U19
1 : 1
Aston Villa U19
Page 1 of 6

Bayern U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Duisburg U19
0 : 4
Bayern U19
13 Sept
Munich 1860 U19
1 : 3
Bayern U19
10 Sept
Bayern U19
6 : 1
Bodo/Glimt U19
29 Aug
Bayern U19
4 : 2
Ingolstadt U19
23 Aug
Bayern U19
3 : 1
Ingolstadt U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 6 6 0 0 19:7 18
2 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 13:3 16
3 Salzburg U19 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
4 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 17:10 15
5 VfB Stuttgart U19 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
6 Real Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
7 Atalanta U19 6 4 0 2 14:12 12
8 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 16:8 11
9 Benfica U19 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
10 Juventus U19 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
11 Manchester City U19 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
12 Girona U19 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
13 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
14 Shakhtar U19 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
15 Aston Villa U19 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
16 Sturm Graz U19 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
17 Celtic U19 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
18 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
19 Liverpool U19 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
20 Lille U19 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
21 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
22 Monaco U19 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
23 PSG U19 6 2 1 3 14:13 7
24 Leverkusen U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 PSV U19 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
26 Arsenal U19 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
27 AC Milan U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
28 Crvena zvezda U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
29 Feyenoord U19 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
30 Young Boys U19 6 1 0 5 11:17 3
31 Club Brugge U19 6 0 3 3 5:11 3
32 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 0 5 10:18 3
33 Bologna U19 6 0 2 4 7:14 2
34 Brest U19 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
35 Slovan Bratislava U19 6 0 2 4 6:20 2
36 Sparta Prague U19 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)