Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aston Villa U21 vs Ipswich U21

England England

Premier League 2 2025/2026 Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Birmingham
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Pitts J.
28' Event
Burrowes B.
32' Event
Young K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between Aston Villa U21 and Ipswich U21 finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aston Villa U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aston Villa U21
20%
Draws
44%
Ipswich U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ipswich U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ipswich U21 come out ahead of Aston Villa U21 on wins alone.
  • Aston Villa U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Ipswich U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa U21 Ipswich U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.97
Goals Conceded 2 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Ipswich U21
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aston Villa U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Young K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Burrowes B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Ipswich U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitts J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayinde L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa U21 47 / 100
Ipswich U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa U21 Ipswich U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Aston Villa U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ipswich U21 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Aston Villa U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa U21 VS Ipswich U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1
Real Sociedad B
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
02 Sept
Aston Villa U21
0 : 4
Brondby U21
28 Aug
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2
Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 6

Ipswich U21

(Away)
15 Sept
Bromley U21
2 : 4
Ipswich U21
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Ipswich U21
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Ipswich U21
28 Aug
Ipswich U21
4 : 1
Blackburn U21
24 Aug
Manchester United U21
5 : 0
Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 20 14 1 5 52:25 43
2 Manchester United U21 20 13 4 3 43:26 43
3 Manchester City U21 20 13 1 6 59:21 40
4 Fulham U21 20 11 5 4 48:32 38
5 Ipswich U21 20 12 2 6 45:45 38
6 Southampton U21 20 10 6 4 36:29 36
7 Liverpool U21 20 11 2 7 49:36 35
8 Tottenham U21 20 11 2 7 42:32 35
9 Leicester U21 20 9 4 7 48:42 31
10 Crystal Palace U21 20 9 4 7 36:31 31
11 Aston Villa U21 20 9 4 7 32:35 31
12 Brighton U21 20 8 6 6 38:25 30
13 West Ham U21 20 8 6 6 44:35 30
14 Arsenal U21 20 8 5 7 28:33 29
15 Sunderland U21 20 8 4 8 41:40 28
16 Middlesbrough U21 20 7 6 7 37:28 27
17 Nottingham U21 20 8 2 10 23:23 26
18 Everton U21 20 7 4 9 33:36 25
19 Reading U21 20 7 4 9 29:36 25
20 Stoke City U21 20 7 4 9 29:42 25
21 Newcastle Utd U21 20 6 6 8 30:35 24
22 Wolves U21 20 6 5 9 30:45 23
23 Norwich U21 20 5 5 10 32:42 20
24 Derby U21 20 5 5 10 26:44 20
25 Leeds U21 20 5 3 12 28:40 18
26 West Brom U21 20 5 3 12 26:41 18
27 Birmingham U21 20 4 5 11 26:52 17
28 Blackburn U21 20 4 2 14 27:46 14
29 Burnley U21 20 3 4 13 22:42 13
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)