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Aston Villa U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa U23 Logo

Aston Villa U23

1 - 2
FT
Newcastle Utd U23 Logo

Newcastle Utd U23

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Frith D.
41' Event
Allan T.
42'
Carlyon N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Aston Villa U23 and Newcastle Utd U23 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Utd U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aston Villa U23
15%
Draws
42%
Newcastle Utd U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aston Villa U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Aston Villa U23 haven't matched Newcastle Utd U23's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Aston Villa U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Newcastle Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa U23 Newcastle Utd U23
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.97 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2022 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
1:2
Jan 31, 2022 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Aston Villa U23
2:0
May 7, 2021 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Aston Villa U23
1:2
May 2, 2021 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
1:1
Mar 13, 2020 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Aston Villa U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aston Villa U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Young K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Newcastle Utd U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Allan T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa U23 29 / 100
Newcastle Utd U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa U23 Newcastle Utd U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aston Villa U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Newcastle Utd U23 conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Newcastle Utd U23 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa U23 VS Newcastle Utd U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa U23

(Home)
12 Jul
Hednesford
4 : 3
Aston Villa U23
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Aston Villa U23
1 : 4
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Utd U23

(Away)
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
18 Apr
Wolves U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
01 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)