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Aston Villa U23 vs Sunderland U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Birmingham
Aston Villa U23 Logo

Aston Villa U23

2 - 3
FT
Sunderland U23 Logo

Sunderland U23

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Almond P.
33'
Ealing F.
35' Event
Davis K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sunderland U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunderland U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aston Villa U23
15%
Draws
49%
Sunderland U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aston Villa U23 lately — more wins on the board than Sunderland U23.
  • Model gives Aston Villa U23 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Aston Villa U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Sunderland U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa U23 Sunderland U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.97 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2022 Premier League 2
Sunderland U23 vs Aston Villa U23
1:3
Oct 22, 2021 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Sunderland U23
2:3
Mar 1, 2021 Premier League 2
Sunderland U23 vs Aston Villa U23
2:3
Oct 30, 2020 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Sunderland U23
0:2
Jan 6, 2020 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Sunderland U23
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aston Villa U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Davis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sunderland U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa U23 41 / 100
Sunderland U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa U23 Sunderland U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa U23's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sunderland U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sunderland U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa U23 VS Sunderland U23
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa U23

(Home)
12 Jul
Hednesford
4 : 3
Aston Villa U23
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Aston Villa U23
1 : 4
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 6

Sunderland U23

(Away)
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Sunderland U23
2 : 1
Birmingham U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Norwich U23
1 : 1
Sunderland U23
21 Mar
Sunderland U23
0 : 2
Burnley U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)