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Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL Keys Park, Hednesford
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa W host Liverpool W in the WSL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Liverpool W have shipped 1.47 goals a game lately, while Aston Villa W have conceded 2.28 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor Aston Villa W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 2.38) point toward Liverpool W. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Aston Villa W
20%
Draws
42%
Liverpool W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liverpool W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Liverpool W come out ahead of Aston Villa W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 10%
Liverpool W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa W Liverpool W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.41 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 WSL
Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W
4:1
Dec 11, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W
3:0
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W
5:1
Mar 30, 2025 WSL
Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Liverpool W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa W 30 / 100
Liverpool W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa W Liverpool W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aston Villa W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Liverpool W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Aston Villa W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa W VS Liverpool W
1.13 Goals Scored 3.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa W

(Home)
04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1
Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0
Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 6

Liverpool W

(Away)
03 Oct
Manchester United W
1 : 0
Liverpool W
30 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 4
Liverpool W
27 Sept
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Everton W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2
Sunderland W
18 Sept
Manchester City W
4 : 2
Liverpool W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 16:6 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
3 London City Lionesses W 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
4 Tottenham W 5 3 1 1 16:8 10
5 Everton W 5 3 0 2 4:4 9
6 Liverpool W 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
7 Manchester United W 5 2 1 2 5:9 7
8 Crystal Palace W 5 1 3 1 5:11 6
9 Brighton W 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
10 Arsenal W 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
11 West Ham W 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
12 Aston Villa W 5 0 3 2 4:11 3
13 Birmingham W 5 0 2 3 7:12 2
14 Charlton W 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)