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Aston Villa W vs Notts County W

England England

Women's League Cup 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa W play Notts County W in the Women's League Cup 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aston Villa W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Notts County W averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Aston Villa W won 0, Notts County W won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 26, 2015 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Aston Villa W and 1.63 for Notts County W. This points to a Notts County W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aston Villa W
21%
Draws
43%
Notts County W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Notts County W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Aston Villa W picked up more points recently compared to Notts County W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 14%
Notts County W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa W Notts County W
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2015 Women's League Cup
Aston Villa W vs Notts County W
0:5
Apr 12, 2015 Women’s FA Cup
Notts County W vs Aston Villa W
5:1
Apr 30, 2014 Women's League Cup
Notts County W vs Aston Villa W
5:0
Nov 22, 2009 Women's National League North
Notts County W vs Aston Villa W
2:1
Aug 30, 2009 Women's National League North
Aston Villa W vs Notts County W
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa W 35 / 100
Notts County W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa W Notts County W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Notts County W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aston Villa W attacking → ← attacking Notts County W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Notts County W let in goals in 95% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Aston Villa W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Notts County W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 22
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arsenal W550014:215
2Chelsea W540120:412
3Reading W530212:79
4London City Lionesses W520310:186
5Watford W51046:153
6London Bees W50056:220
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manchester City W550015:115
2Liverpool W54018:212
3Doncaster W530211:109
4Sunderland W520310:116
5Everton W51046:123
6Durham W50051:150
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Notts County W550019:215
2Birmingham W540117:312
3Bristol City W530210:59
4Yeovil W52034:136
5Aston Villa W51045:203
6Oxford Utd W50054:160