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Aston Villa W vs Notts County W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Notts County W in this Women's League Cup 2015 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Aston Villa W
20%
Draws
22%
Notts County W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aston Villa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aston Villa W have won more games recently than Notts County W.
  • Aston Villa W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Aston Villa W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Notts County W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Notts County W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 10%
Notts County W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa W Notts County W
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.05
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2015 Women's League Cup
Aston Villa W vs Notts County W
0:5
Apr 12, 2015 Women’s FA Cup
Notts County W vs Aston Villa W
5:1
Apr 30, 2014 Women's League Cup
Notts County W vs Aston Villa W
5:0
Nov 22, 2009 Women's National League North
Notts County W vs Aston Villa W
2:1
Aug 30, 2009 Women's National League North
Aston Villa W vs Notts County W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa W 83 / 100
Notts County W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa W Notts County W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Notts County W let in goals in 95% of their last 21 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Aston Villa W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa W VS Notts County W
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa W

(Home)
04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1
Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0
Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 6

Notts County W

(Away)
02 Aug
Notts County W
0 : 3
Peterborough W
03 Nov
Notts County W
0 : 5
Sporting Khalsa W
09 Jul
Notts County W
0 : 6
Milton Keynes Dons W
26 Mar
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Notts County W
19 Mar
Notts County W
3 : 2
Yeovil W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal W 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 0 1 20:4 12
3 Reading W 5 3 0 2 12:7 9
4 London City Lionesses W 5 2 0 3 10:18 6
5 Watford W 5 1 0 4 6:15 3
6 London Bees W 5 0 0 5 6:22 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 15:1 15
2 Liverpool W 5 4 0 1 8:2 12
3 Doncaster W 5 3 0 2 11:10 9
4 Sunderland W 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
5 Everton W 5 1 0 4 6:12 3
6 Durham W 5 0 0 5 1:15 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County W 5 5 0 0 19:2 15
2 Birmingham W 5 4 0 1 17:3 12
3 Bristol City W 5 3 0 2 10:5 9
4 Yeovil W 5 2 0 3 4:13 6
5 Aston Villa W 5 1 0 4 5:20 3
6 Oxford Utd W 5 0 0 5 4:16 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2015 (Play Offs)