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Astrakhan vs FC Sevastopol

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Zubavlenko V.
56' Event
Karpov A.
90' Event
Gevlych V.

AI Match Summary

FC Sevastopol in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Sevastopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Astrakhan
30%
Draws
34%
FC Sevastopol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Astrakhan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Sevastopol have won more games recently than Astrakhan.
  • Astrakhan are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 20%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astrakhan FC Sevastopol
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 22
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FC Sevastopol
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FC Sevastopol
1:1
May 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FC Sevastopol
5:2
Sep 25, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Karpov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Zubavlenko V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gevlych V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astrakhan 36 / 100
FC Sevastopol 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astrakhan FC Sevastopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Astrakhan scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

FC Sevastopol has conceded goals in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Astrakhan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Astrakhan VS FC Sevastopol
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%