Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Astur vs Caudal Deportivo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Acerete C.
14' Event
Delgado J.
90' Event
Delgado J.

AI Match Summary

Caudal Deportivo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caudal Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Astur
30%
Draws
54%
Caudal Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caudal Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caudal Deportivo lately — more wins on the board than Astur.
  • Win probability leans Caudal Deportivo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Caudal Deportivo have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Astur Clean Sheet 17%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astur Caudal Deportivo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Caudal Deportivo
0:3
May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Caudal Deportivo
0:6
Dec 20, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Astur
3:0
Apr 5, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Caudal Deportivo
0:3
Nov 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Astur
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Astur Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Caudal Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Acerete C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astur 10 / 100
Caudal Deportivo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astur Caudal Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caudal Deportivo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Astur scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Caudal Deportivo let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Astur has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Astur VS Caudal Deportivo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Astur

(Home)
04 Oct
Astur
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

Caudal Deportivo

(Away)
04 Oct
Praviano
1 : 1
Caudal Deportivo
26 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 0
L Entregu CF
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
09 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)