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ASV Geel vs Genk U23

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rotundo E.
10' Event
Rotundo E.
27' Event
John K.

AI Match Summary

Genk U23 in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Genk U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ASV Geel
20%
Draws
40%
Genk U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Genk U23 have won more games recently than ASV Geel.
  • Genk U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
ASV Geel Clean Sheet 10%
Genk U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASV Geel Genk U23
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.73 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
ASV Geel vs Genk U23
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASV Geel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Genk U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotundo E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader John K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASV Geel 22 / 100
Genk U23 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASV Geel Genk U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASV Geel scored in 92% of their last 26 games.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Genk U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

ASV Geel has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASV Geel VS Genk U23
1 Goals Scored 3.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

ASV Geel

(Home)
04 Aug
ASV Geel
1 : 1
Hasselt
13 Aug
Thes Sport
1 : 4
ASV Geel
23 Aug
Meux
2 : 1
ASV Geel
17 Aug
ASV Geel
2 : 1
Wezel Sport
10 Aug
ASV Geel
2 : 0
Crossing Schaerbeek
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Genk U23

(Away)
05 Sept
Genk U23
3 : 0
Hasselt
28 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
2 : 4
Genk U23
25 Aug
Genk U23
6 : 0
Maastricht
23 Aug
Genk U23
2 : 3
RFC Liege
19 Aug
Leuven B
2 : 2
Genk U23
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