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ASV Geel vs St. Truiden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Matafadi E.
74' Event
Nazon D.
75' Event
Durkin C.

AI Match Summary

St. Truiden in this Club Friendly 2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Truiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
ASV Geel
15%
Draws
32%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASV Geel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • ASV Geel haven't matched St. Truiden's recent run of results.
  • ASV Geel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Truiden have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
ASV Geel Clean Sheet 16%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASV Geel St. Truiden
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2020 Club Friendly
ASV Geel vs St. Truiden
1:2
Jul 8, 2017 Club Friendly
ASV Geel vs St. Truiden
0:5
Jun 28, 2015 Club Friendly
St. Truiden vs ASV Geel
3:1
Apr 19, 2015 Challenger Pro League
ASV Geel vs St. Truiden
1:4
Nov 15, 2014 Challenger Pro League
St. Truiden vs ASV Geel
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASV Geel Compare

Top Goalscorer Matafadi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

St. Truiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Nazon D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Durkin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASV Geel 84 / 100
St. Truiden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASV Geel St. Truiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASV Geel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASV Geel's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

St. Truiden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

ASV Geel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASV Geel VS St. Truiden
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASV Geel

(Home)
04 Aug
ASV Geel
1 : 1
Hasselt
13 Aug
Thes Sport
1 : 4
ASV Geel
23 Aug
Meux
2 : 1
ASV Geel
17 Aug
ASV Geel
2 : 1
Wezel Sport
10 Aug
ASV Geel
2 : 0
Crossing Schaerbeek
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St. Truiden

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
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