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ASVO vs Etoiles Filantes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Benin Benin

Ligue 1 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2024/2025 game between ASVO and Etoiles Filantes finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASVO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
ASVO
15%
Draws
28%
Etoiles Filantes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASVO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASVO come out ahead of Etoiles Filantes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans ASVO's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors ASVO here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
ASVO Clean Sheet 20%
Etoiles Filantes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASVO Etoiles Filantes
Matches Played 45 32
Wins 22 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.2 0.59
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Ligue 1
ASVO vs Etoiles Filantes
4:0
Dec 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Etoiles Filantes vs ASVO
1:3
Apr 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Etoiles Filantes vs ASVO
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 Ligue 1
ASVO vs Etoiles Filantes
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASVO 85 / 100
Etoiles Filantes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASVO Etoiles Filantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASVO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASVO scored in 67% of their last 45 games.

Etoiles Filantes let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Etoiles Filantes registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASVO VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASVO

(Home)
03 Oct
Ayema
1 : 0
ASVO
26 Sept
ASVO
1 : 0
Krake
20 Jun
JS Pob
1 : 0
ASVO
13 Jun
ASVO
2 : 0
Damissa
06 Jun
ASPAC
2 : 0
ASVO
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Etoiles Filantes

(Away)
07 Jun
Etoiles Filantes
2 : 0
Aziza
24 May
Etoiles Filantes
0 : 3
AS Cotonou
18 May
Ayema
2 : 0
Etoiles Filantes
11 May
JS Pob
2 : 0
Etoiles Filantes
04 May
Etoiles Filantes
0 : 3
Coton FC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dadje 34 17 12 5 44:26 63
2 Cavaliers 34 16 11 7 41:26 59
3 Espoir Savalou 34 17 8 9 36:23 59
4 Loto 34 15 12 7 36:24 57
5 Dynamo Abomey 34 15 11 8 34:21 56
6 Damissa 34 15 10 9 38:24 55
7 Hodio 34 14 13 7 28:21 55
8 Bani Ganse 34 13 12 9 33:26 51
9 Buffles du Borgou 34 12 15 7 21:14 51
10 Pantheres FC 34 14 9 11 37:34 51
11 Bembereke 34 10 8 16 28:35 38
12 Takunnin 34 9 8 17 30:37 35
13 Abeilles 34 8 10 16 26:33 34
14 Boa 34 7 13 14 29:41 34
15 Dynamique Djougou 34 6 13 15 21:41 31
16 Dynamo Parakou 34 7 10 17 19:39 31
17 Real Sport 34 6 12 16 27:48 30
18 Tonnerre 34 6 11 17 24:39 29
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coton FC 32 16 12 4 34:16 60
2 Dragons 32 14 13 5 43:28 55
3 Ayema 32 16 7 9 37:21 55
4 Sobemap 32 13 15 4 40:23 54
5 Krake 32 13 12 7 35:26 51
6 ASVO 32 12 14 6 36:20 50
7 JS Pob 32 12 13 7 29:23 49
8 AS Cotonou 32 12 10 10 30:23 46
9 ASPAC 32 10 15 7 34:28 45
10 Police 32 10 11 11 29:31 41
11 Adjidja 32 9 13 10 21:23 40
12 Avrankou Omnisport 32 10 6 16 29:41 36
13 Sitatunga 32 7 14 11 25:35 35
14 Requins de l'Atlantique FC 32 8 10 14 31:41 34
15 JAK 32 7 8 17 26:43 29
16 Aziza 32 4 10 18 21:46 22
17 Etoiles Filantes 32 4 7 21 17:49 19
18 Ouidah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)