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Aswan vs El Mansoura - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Division 2 A 2025/2026 Aswan Stadium, Aswan
Our Tip

Match Events

69'
83' Event

AI Match Summary

Aswan in this Division 2 A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aswan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aswan
20%
Draws
80%
El Mansoura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Mansoura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to El Mansoura lately — more wins on the board than Aswan.
  • Model gives El Mansoura a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Aswan Clean Sheet 13%
El Mansoura Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aswan El Mansoura
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 8 14
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.4 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.64 1.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Division 2 A
Aswan vs El Mansoura
1:0
Oct 9, 2025 Division 2 A
El Mansoura vs Aswan
1:0
Apr 30, 2025 Division 2 A
Aswan vs El Mansoura
1:2
Dec 23, 2024 Division 2 A
El Mansoura vs Aswan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aswan 10 / 100
El Mansoura 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aswan El Mansoura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Mansoura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aswan scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

El Mansoura has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

El Mansoura lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aswan VS El Mansoura
0.4 Goals Scored 0.88
2.4 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aswan

(Home)
14 May
Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat
5 : 1
Aswan
07 May
Aswan
0 : 2
El Daklyeh
30 Apr
Al Qanah
1 : 0
Aswan
23 Apr
Aswan
0 : 2
Masar
16 Apr
Al Sekka
2 : 1
Aswan
Page 1 of 6

El Mansoura

(Away)
01 Oct
El Mansoura
2 : 0
Masar
24 Sept
Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat
2 : 0
El Mansoura
17 Sept
El Mansoura
1 : 1
Team FC
11 Sept
Tersana
1 : 1
El Mansoura
03 Sept
El Mansoura
2 : 0
Kahrabaa Ismailia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qanah 34 22 9 3 56:19 75
2 Asyut Petroleum 34 16 12 6 42:27 60
3 Abu Qir Semad 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
4 Masar 34 15 10 9 47:29 55
5 Proxy 34 13 16 5 41:31 55
6 La Viena 34 14 12 8 38:23 54
7 WE Sports Club 34 11 13 10 30:34 46
8 Al Sekka 34 12 10 12 28:33 46
9 El Mansoura 34 9 17 8 28:27 44
10 Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat 34 11 11 12 31:29 44
11 Tersana 34 8 16 10 31:32 40
12 El Entag El Harby 34 10 10 14 38:47 40
13 El Daklyeh 34 10 10 14 31:43 40
14 Dayrout 34 8 14 12 22:33 38
15 Tanta 34 5 18 11 27:36 33
16 Baladiyat El Mahalla 34 7 11 16 34:38 32
17 Aswan 34 5 10 19 15:42 25
18 Raya 34 4 10 20 20:51 22
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