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ASWH vs SJC Noordwijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Pires L.
51' Event
Husen S.
Own Goal
58' Event
Korporaal F.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2018/2019 game between ASWH and SJC Noordwijk finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASWH.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
ASWH
15%
Draws
73%
SJC Noordwijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SJC Noordwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • ASWH carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
ASWH Clean Sheet 11%
SJC Noordwijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASWH SJC Noordwijk
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 1
Losses 24 21
Goals Scored 1.68 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.58 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2019 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs SJC Noordwijk
3:1
Jan 12, 2019 Derde Divisie
SJC Noordwijk vs ASWH
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASWH Compare

Top Goalscorer Pires L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korporaal F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

SJC Noordwijk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASWH 30 / 100
SJC Noordwijk 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASWH SJC Noordwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASWH scored in 82% of their last 38 games.

SJC Noordwijk let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: SJC Noordwijk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASWH VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASWH

(Home)
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1
ASWH
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6
VV Zwaluwen
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2
ASWH
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3
Roosendaal
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0
ASWH
Page 1 of 8

SJC Noordwijk

(Away)
02 Nov
SJC Noordwijk
1 : 3
Willem II
20 Sept
SJC Noordwijk
1 : 0
Gemert
12 Aug
SJC Noordwijk
2 : 1
Bon Boys
08 Jun
RKAV Volendam
5 : 2
SJC Noordwijk
04 Jun
SJC Noordwijk
0 : 3
RKAV Volendam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 34 25 5 4 94:41 80
2 Quick Boys 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
3 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 21 5 8 102:47 68
4 HSV Hoek 34 19 7 8 82:55 64
5 Groningen U21 34 17 7 10 66:39 58
6 Harkemase Boys 34 17 6 11 68:59 57
7 ASWH 34 16 7 11 74:54 55
8 SteDoCo 34 17 4 13 65:56 55
9 ODIN '59 34 17 3 14 71:66 54
10 Lisse 34 16 3 15 62:64 51
11 VV DOVO 34 14 6 14 76:66 48
12 Ajax (Am) 34 12 5 17 52:61 41
13 ONS Sneek 34 12 3 19 57:58 39
14 VVOG 34 9 8 17 41:72 35
15 Eemdijk 34 9 2 23 51:87 29
16 SJC Noordwijk 34 8 2 24 50:105 26
17 De Dijk 34 4 7 23 49:111 19
18 Achilles 29 34 4 8 22 44:107 16
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Volendam 34 22 5 7 97:44 71
2 TEC 34 21 7 6 63:38 70
3 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 8 8 79:43 62
4 GOES 34 20 1 13 80:55 61
5 UNA 34 17 5 12 68:55 56
6 FC OSS '20 34 16 6 12 70:53 54
7 HV & CV Quick 34 15 5 14 67:66 50
8 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 13 8 13 59:57 47
9 Westlandia 34 14 4 16 59:73 46
10 Dongen 34 14 3 17 51:70 45
11 USV Hercules 34 12 8 14 55:63 44
12 HSC '21 34 14 2 18 51:73 44
13 Blauw Geel 34 12 7 15 62:65 43
14 EVV 34 11 9 14 39:43 41
15 JVC '31 Cuijk 34 12 3 19 43:77 39
16 OJC Rosmalen 34 10 5 19 49:61 35
17 KVV Quick 20 34 8 7 19 53:84 31
18 HBS Craeyenhout 34 7 7 20 37:62 28
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)