Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASWH vs VVSB

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Schildman, Hendrik-Ido-Ambacht
0 - 1
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between ASWH and VVSB finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VVSB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
ASWH
20%
Draws
70%
VVSB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VVSB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • ASWH haven't matched VVSB's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans VVSB's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and VVSB have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
ASWH Clean Sheet 10%
VVSB Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASWH VVSB
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 18
Draws 5 2
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 2.47
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs VVSB
0:1
Nov 4, 2025 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs ASWH
4:0
Mar 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs VVSB
4:2
Oct 19, 2024 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs ASWH
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASWH 10 / 100
VVSB 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASWH VVSB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VVSB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASWH scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

VVSB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

ASWH went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASWH VS VVSB
1.29 Goals Scored 2.38
2.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ASWH

(Home)
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1
ASWH
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6
VV Zwaluwen
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2
ASWH
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3
Roosendaal
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0
ASWH
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VVSB

(Away)
22 Aug
VVSB
0 : 2
RKSV UDI 19
15 Aug
SV Poortugaal
0 : 1
VVSB
30 May
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0
VVSB
27 May
VVSB
1 : 1
Excelsior Maassluis
23 May
Rijnvogels
0 : 3
VVSB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)