Sport Picks
Asyut Petroleum vs Al Ahly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Egypt
League Cup 
Match Events
2'
2'
Afsha
6'
6'
Mahmoud A.
33'
33'
Benjdida S.
Assist: El Shahat H.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-5. The second leg ended 0-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
20%
74%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahly
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Al Ahly carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Al Ahly's way, sitting at 90%.
- Al Ahly arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Al Ahly, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Al Ahly have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Asyut Petroleum Clean Sheet 17%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Asyut Petroleum | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 League Cup
Asyut Petroleum vs Al Ahly
0:5
Mar 15, 2010 Premier League
Asyut Petroleum vs Al Ahly
1:2
Sep 23, 2009 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Asyut Petroleum
1:0
Mar 2, 2009 Premier League
Asyut Petroleum vs Al Ahly
2:2
Sep 19, 2008 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Asyut Petroleum
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Asyut Petroleum Compare
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Al Ahly Compare
Top Goalscorer El Shahat H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Afsha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Asyut Petroleum 10 / 100
Al Ahly 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Asyut Petroleum Al Ahly
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ahly Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Asyut Petroleum scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Al Ahly conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.
Asyut Petroleum has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Asyut Petroleum VS Al Ahly
0.5 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Asyut Petroleum
(Home) 07 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 5 Al Ahly
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2 Modern Sport
07 Sept
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0 Asyut Petroleum
31 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 1 National Bank Egypt
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0 Asyut Petroleum
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 5 Al Ahly
15 Sept
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 2 Modern Sport
31 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 1 National Bank Egypt
22 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
1 : 1 Petrojet
14 May
Asyut Petroleum
1 : 0 Baladiyat El Mahalla
Page 1 of 3
Al Ahly
(Away) 07 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 5 Al Ahly
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0 Abu Qir Semad
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1 Al Ahly
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0 Smouha
28 Aug
ZED FC
0 : 2 Al Ahly
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 5 Al Ahly
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1 Al Ahly
28 Aug
ZED FC
0 : 2 Al Ahly
19 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 1 Al Ahly
20 May
Al Masry
0 : 2 Al Ahly
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZED FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | El Gaish | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Wadi Degla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Zamalek | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Smouha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Modern Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | National Bank Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Al Qanah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Enppi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | El Gouna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Asyut Petroleum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Masry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Petrojet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Abu Qir Semad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
