Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ataka Vilnius vs FK Sirvena Birzai

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup
Ataka Vilnius Logo

Ataka Vilnius

4 - 0
FT
FK Sirvena Birzai Logo

FK Sirvena Birzai

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Merliunas E.
25' Event
Elamrani M.
47' Event
Merliunas E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ataka Vilnius
25%
Draws
35%
FK Sirvena Birzai
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ataka Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ataka Vilnius lately — more wins on the board than FK Sirvena Birzai.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Ataka Vilnius have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ataka Vilnius, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ataka Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%
FK Sirvena Birzai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ataka Vilnius FK Sirvena Birzai
Matches Played 5 2
Wins 2 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 1.8 0
Goals Conceded 3.6 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.40 2.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
Ataka Vilnius vs FK Sirvena Birzai
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ataka Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Merliunas E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Elamrani M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.2

FK Sirvena Birzai Compare

Avg xG / game 2.09
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ataka Vilnius 34 / 100
FK Sirvena Birzai 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ataka Vilnius FK Sirvena Birzai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Sirvena Birzai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ataka Vilnius's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

FK Sirvena Birzai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 2 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ataka Vilnius remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ataka Vilnius VS FK Sirvena Birzai
1.8 Goals Scored 0
3.6 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
80% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ataka Vilnius

(Home)
20 May
Ataka Vilnius
1 : 2
FA Siauliai
21 Apr
Ataka Vilnius
4 : 0
FK Sirvena Birzai
07 May
Ataka Vilnius
0 : 9
Riteriai
24 May
Ataka Vilnius
1 : 5
Riteriai
07 May
Ataka Vilnius
3 : 2
FK Dembava

FK Sirvena Birzai

(Away)
21 Apr
Ataka Vilnius
4 : 0
FK Sirvena Birzai
25 Jul
FK Sveikata Kybartai
2 : 0
FK Sirvena Birzai

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pempininkai 2
Sirijus 1
FK Minija 3
Suduva 2
FK Atmosfera 2
Zalgiris 1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 0
FK Panevezys 2
Klaipedos FM 1
BE1 NFA 0
Viltis Vilnius 1
Dainava Alytus 7
Kursenai 1
Transinvest 10
Tauras Taurage 1
FC Hegelmann 4
Ataka Vilnius 4
FK Sirvena Birzai 0
Jonava 0
FA Siauliai 4
Neptunas 0
Dziugas Telsiai 2
Vilniaus Vytis 0
Banga 4
BFA Vilnius 1
FK Babrungas 0
AFK Vilnius 0
Garliava 3
Vilnius FA 0
Riteriai 1
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
1/8-finals
Pempininkai 1
FK Minija 4
FK Atmosfera 0
FK Panevezys 3
Klaipedos FM 0
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 2
FC Hegelmann 0
Ataka Vilnius 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Banga 0
BFA Vilnius 2
Garliava 1
Riteriai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Quarter-finals
FK Minija 2
FK Panevezys 1
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Semi-finals
FK Minija 3
Dainava Alytus 2
FA Siauliai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Final
FK Minija -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -