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Atalanta U19 vs Real Madrid U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Carillo Pesenti Pigna, Alzano Lombardo
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Perea C.
42' Event
Aguado D.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Bonsignori L. In: Simonetto F.
Out: Bonsignori L.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 game between Atalanta U19 and Real Madrid U19 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Atalanta U19
15%
Draws
67%
Real Madrid U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Madrid U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Real Madrid U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Real Madrid U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atalanta U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Real Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta U19 Real Madrid U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 22
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.6 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Atalanta U19 vs Real Madrid U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Real Madrid U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortega J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fortea J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.06
Avg xA / game 1.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U19 10 / 100
Real Madrid U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta U19 Real Madrid U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Atalanta U19 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Real Madrid U19 conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Atalanta U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U19 VS Real Madrid U19
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta U19

(Home)
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
26 Nov
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
3 : 2
Atalanta U19
05 Nov
Marseille U19
0 : 0
Atalanta U19
22 Oct
Atalanta U19
2 : 0
Slavia Prague U19
30 Sept
Atalanta U19
0 : 2
Club Brugge U19
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 1
S. Wanderers U20
08 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 0
Inter U19
20 Apr
Club Brugge U19
1 : 2
Real Madrid U19
17 Apr
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
PSG U19
18 Mar
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
Sporting CP U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 6 6 0 0 19:7 18
2 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 13:3 16
3 Salzburg U19 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
4 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 17:10 15
5 VfB Stuttgart U19 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
6 Real Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
7 Atalanta U19 6 4 0 2 14:12 12
8 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 16:8 11
9 Benfica U19 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
10 Juventus U19 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
11 Manchester City U19 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
12 Girona U19 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
13 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
14 Shakhtar U19 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
15 Aston Villa U19 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
16 Sturm Graz U19 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
17 Celtic U19 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
18 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
19 Liverpool U19 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
20 Lille U19 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
21 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
22 Monaco U19 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
23 PSG U19 6 2 1 3 14:13 7
24 Leverkusen U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 PSV U19 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
26 Arsenal U19 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
27 AC Milan U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
28 Crvena zvezda U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
29 Feyenoord U19 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
30 Young Boys U19 6 1 0 5 11:17 3
31 Club Brugge U19 6 0 3 3 5:11 3
32 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 0 5 10:18 3
33 Bologna U19 6 0 2 4 7:14 2
34 Brest U19 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
35 Slovan Bratislava U19 6 0 2 4 6:20 2
36 Sparta Prague U19 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)