Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atalanta U23 vs Alessandria

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Fiumano F.
25'
Soler I.
26'
Rota A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 game between Atalanta U23 and Alessandria finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atalanta U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Atalanta U23
15%
Draws
42%
Alessandria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Alessandria haven't matched Atalanta U23's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta U23 Alessandria
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.26 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Atalanta U23 vs Alessandria
2:0
Oct 31, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Atalanta U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Panada S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capone C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Alessandria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U23 36 / 100
Alessandria 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta U23 Alessandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alessandria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alessandria let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Atalanta U23 scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Atalanta U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U23 VS Alessandria
1.25 Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta U23

(Home)
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Pescara
06 Sept
Livorno
1 : 0
Atalanta U23
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
Page 1 of 7

Alessandria

(Away)
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Alessandria
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2
Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mantova 38 24 8 6 72:31 80
2 Padova 38 21 14 3 55:28 77
3 Vicenza 38 20 11 7 52:30 71
4 Triestina 38 19 7 12 61:44 64
5 Atalanta U23 38 16 11 11 43:36 59
6 Legnago Salus 38 13 17 8 46:39 56
7 Giana Erminio 38 15 8 15 46:44 53
8 Pro Vercelli 38 14 11 13 50:47 53
9 Lumezzane 38 15 8 15 49:48 53
10 Trento 38 13 12 13 34:37 51
11 Virtus Verona 38 12 11 15 35:43 47
12 Pro Patria 38 12 10 16 37:51 46
13 AlbinoLeffe 38 10 15 13 34:37 45
14 Pergolettese 38 13 6 19 44:50 45
15 Renate 38 11 12 15 35:46 45
16 Arzignano 38 10 14 14 32:37 44
17 Novara 38 8 19 11 39:49 43
18 Fiorenzuola 38 10 8 20 38:62 38
19 Pro Sesto 38 7 14 17 25:40 35
20 Alessandria 38 5 8 25 20:48 20
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)