Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale

Atalanta U23

3 - 4

Benevento

Our Tip

Match Events

Lamesta D.

14'

Levak S.

18'

Levak S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Atalanta U23 and Benevento finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benevento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Atalanta U23

44%

Draws

20%

Benevento

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Benevento come out ahead of Atalanta U23 on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Benevento Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atalanta U23	Benevento
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	20
Draws	10	6
Losses	12	4
Goals Scored	1.5	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie C - Group C

Atalanta U23 vs Benevento

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

3:4

Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C

Benevento vs Atalanta U23

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Levak S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Misitano G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Benevento Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierozzi E.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Lamesta D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U23 36 / 100

Benevento 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atalanta U23 Benevento

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Atalanta U23 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Atalanta U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Benevento has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U23 VS Benevento

1.5 Goals Scored 1.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75

100% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benevento	38	25	7	6	74:28	82
2	Catania	38	19	13	6	54:25	70
3	Salernitana	38	20	9	9	50:42	69
4	Cosenza	38	19	10	9	58:40	67
5	Casertana	38	19	9	10	55:44	66
6	Crotone	38	18	7	13	59:40	61
7	Monopoli	38	15	11	12	39:41	56
8	Casarano	38	16	8	14	56:57	56
9	Audace Cerignola	38	14	12	12	50:54	54
10	Potenza	38	12	13	13	54:56	49
11	Atalanta U23	38	11	12	15	53:50	45
12	Altamura	38	11	12	15	32:49	45
13	Latina	38	10	12	16	35:44	42
14	Cavese	38	9	15	14	36:42	42
15	Picerno	38	9	13	16	43:55	40
16	Sorrento	38	9	12	17	39:55	39
17	Giugliano	38	9	10	19	35:52	37
18	Foggia	38	6	9	23	28:60	27
19	Siracusa	38	9	10	19	48:57	26
20	Trapani	38	13	10	15	47:54	24