Sport Picks
Atalanta U23 vs Casertana
Italy
Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale, Caravaggio 
Match Events
22'
22'
Sub
Vismara P. In: Pardel P.
Out: Vismara P.
31'
31'
Toscano M.
43'
43'
Plaia M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Atalanta U23 and Casertana finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casertana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Casertana come out ahead of Atalanta U23 on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Casertana have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Casertana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atalanta U23 | Casertana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Casertana vs Atalanta U23
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Atalanta U23 vs Casertana
0:2
Dec 3, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Atalanta U23
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atalanta U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Casertana Compare
Top Goalscorer Kallon Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atalanta U23 41 / 100
Casertana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atalanta U23 Casertana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atalanta U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atalanta U23 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Casertana let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Atalanta U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Atalanta U23 VS Casertana
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atalanta U23
(Home) 20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2 Ravenna
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1 Pescara
06 Sept
Livorno
1 : 0 Atalanta U23
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1 Guidonia 1937
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2 Ravenna
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1 Pescara
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1 Guidonia 1937
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
12 Apr
Atalanta U23
2 : 0 Monopoli
Page 1 of 3
Casertana
(Away) 03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0 Casertana
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2 Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0 Altamura
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3 Casertana
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0 Casertana
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3 Casertana
29 Aug
A.C. Savoia
1 : 2 Casertana
13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Casertana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
