Sport Picks
Atalanta U23 vs Catania
Italy
Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale, Caravaggio 
Match Events
19'
19'
Sub
Plaia M. In: Berto G.
Out: Plaia M.
41'
41'
Pieraccini S.
43'
43'
Ghislandi D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atalanta U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Atalanta U23 haven't matched Catania's recent run of results.
- Atalanta U23 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Catania Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atalanta U23 | Catania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Atalanta U23 vs Catania
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Atalanta U23
2:0
May 18, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Catania vs Atalanta U23
0:1
May 14, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Atalanta U23 vs Catania
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atalanta U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ghislandi D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Catania Compare
Top Goalscorer Caturano S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atalanta U23 58 / 100
Catania 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atalanta U23 Catania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ATA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atalanta U23 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Atalanta U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Catania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Atalanta U23 VS Catania
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Atalanta U23
(Home) 03 May
Casertana
1 : 0 Atalanta U23
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
19 Apr
Sorrento
1 : 1 Atalanta U23
12 Apr
Atalanta U23
2 : 0 Monopoli
08 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Cavese
Page 1 of 7
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
12 Apr
Atalanta U23
2 : 0 Monopoli
08 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Cavese
21 Mar
Atalanta U23
0 : 2 Casertana
09 Mar
Atalanta U23
3 : 2 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 4
Catania
(Away) 27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
28 Mar
Latina
0 : 1 Catania
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
