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Atalanta U23 vs Cavese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale, Caravaggio
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Obric R.
46'
Sub
Idele J. In: Steffanoni F.
Out: Idele J.
46'
Sub
Vavassori D. In: Guerini A.
Out: Vavassori D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Atalanta U23
15%
Draws
37%
Cavese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Atalanta U23 have won more games recently than Cavese.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Cavese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta U23 Cavese
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Atalanta U23 vs Cavese
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Atalanta U23
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzoni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cavese Compare

Top Goalscorer Minaj E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U23 31 / 100
Cavese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta U23 Cavese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta U23's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Cavese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Atalanta U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U23 VS Cavese
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta U23

(Home)
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Pescara
06 Sept
Livorno
1 : 0
Atalanta U23
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
Page 1 of 6

Cavese

(Away)
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)