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Stadium Background

Atalanta U23 vs Pineto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale, Caravaggio
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atalanta U23 host Pineto in the Serie C - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Atalanta U23 have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Pineto's 0.97 scored and 1.28 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.25) point toward Atalanta U23. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atalanta U23
15%
Draws
46%
Pineto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pineto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Atalanta U23 have won more games recently than Pineto.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Pineto Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta U23 Pineto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.28 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U23 32 / 100
Pineto 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta U23 Pineto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atalanta U23 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Pineto let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Atalanta U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Pineto registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U23 VS Pineto
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta U23

(Home)
01 Nov
Spezia
2 : 1
Atalanta U23
28 Oct
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
24 Oct
Atalanta U23
1 : 2
Campobasso
18 Oct
Gubbio
0 : 2
Atalanta U23
14 Oct
Latina
2 : 0
Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 6

Pineto

(Away)
01 Nov
Ravenna
2 : 1
Pineto
23 Oct
Pineto
1 : 0
Gubbio
20 Oct
Pineto
2 : 0
Reggiana
17 Oct
Pianese
0 : 0
Pineto
04 Oct
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pineto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 12 10 2 0 21:6 32
2 Ravenna 12 8 2 2 22:7 26
3 Grosseto 12 6 5 1 25:15 23
4 Reggiana 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
5 Pescara 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
6 Livorno 12 5 4 3 17:16 19
7 Sassari Torres 12 5 4 3 13:12 19
8 Campobasso 12 5 3 4 18:20 18
9 Guidonia 1937 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
10 Perugia 12 5 2 5 16:18 17
11 Vado 12 4 4 4 14:13 16
12 Latina 12 3 6 3 12:12 15
13 Atalanta U23 12 5 0 7 14:18 15
14 Pineto 12 3 5 4 10:13 14
15 Forli FC 12 2 6 4 16:18 12
16 Sambenedettese 12 2 4 6 16:20 10
17 Pianese 12 1 7 4 7:11 10
18 Ostiamare 12 2 3 7 10:15 9
19 Gubbio 12 2 2 8 10:21 8
20 Vis Pesaro 12 1 2 9 11:26 5
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)