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Atalanta U23 vs Renate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Misitano G.
20' Event
Spedalieri J.
25' Event
Idele J.

AI Match Summary

Atalanta U23 in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atalanta U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Atalanta U23
30%
Draws
18%
Renate
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atalanta U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Renate have won more games recently than Atalanta U23.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta U23 Renate
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Atalanta U23 vs Renate
3:1
Mar 3, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Atalanta U23
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Atalanta U23 vs Renate
4:0
Feb 21, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Atalanta U23 vs Renate
2:2
Sep 20, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Atalanta U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Misitano G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Idele J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Spedalieri J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta U23 31 / 100
Renate 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta U23 Renate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atalanta U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta U23 scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Renate has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Atalanta U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta U23 VS Renate
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta U23

(Home)
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Pescara
06 Sept
Livorno
1 : 0
Atalanta U23
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
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Renate

(Away)
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
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