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Atalanta vs Bologna

Italy Italy

Serie A New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Mon, Aug 31, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atalanta host Bologna in the Serie A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bologna have shipped 1.47 goals a game lately, while Atalanta have conceded 1.27 and scored 1.47. Head-to-head, Atalanta have won 2 to Bologna's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.50) back Atalanta to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Atalanta
15%
Draws
40%
Bologna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bologna come out ahead of Atalanta on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 16%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta Bologna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A
Atalanta vs Bologna
0:1
Jan 7, 2026 Serie A
Bologna vs Atalanta
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Bologna
2:0
Feb 4, 2025 Coppa Italia
Atalanta vs Bologna
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Serie A
Bologna vs Atalanta
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta 30 / 100
Bologna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta Bologna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atalanta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Bologna has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Atalanta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta VS Bologna
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta

(Home)
20 Aug
Atalanta
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Ath Bilbao
08 Aug
Schalke
0 : 3
Atalanta
02 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 1
Atalanta
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2
Arezzo
Page 1 of 6

Bologna

(Away)
15 Aug
Brighton
1 : 0
Bologna
08 Aug
Bologna
1 : 4
Pisa
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1
Cambuur
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1
Cambuur
25 Jul
Bologna
2 : 0
Iraklis FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lecce 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bologna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Frosinone 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Genoa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Napoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Udinese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Monza 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Sassuolo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Venezia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 AS Roma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Inter 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Juventus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Fiorentina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 AC Milan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Lazio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Cagliari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Torino 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Parma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Como 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)