Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Scamacca G.
13'
13'
Bensebaini R.
45'
45'
Zappacosta D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-1, with Atalanta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dortmund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dortmund carry the better recent record into this one.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Dortmund taking it.
- Dortmund arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Atalanta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 15%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atalanta | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 25, 2026 Champions League
Atalanta vs Dortmund
4:1
Feb 17, 2026 Champions League
Dortmund vs Atalanta
2:0
Feb 22, 2018 Europa League
Atalanta vs Dortmund
1:1
Feb 15, 2018 Europa League
Dortmund vs Atalanta
3:2
Aug 1, 2017 Club Friendly
Dortmund vs Atalanta
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atalanta Compare
Top Goalscorer Scamacca G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zappacosta D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Dortmund Compare
Top Goalscorer Adeyemi K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atalanta 10 / 100
Dortmund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atalanta Dortmund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atalanta found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Dortmund let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Atalanta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atalanta VS Dortmund
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Atalanta
(Home) 12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1 Atalanta
23 Aug
Atalanta
2 : 1 Sassuolo
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12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
23 Aug
Atalanta
2 : 1 Sassuolo
20 Aug
Atalanta
0 : 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Ath Bilbao
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Dortmund
(Away) 12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
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05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
09 Aug
Arsenal
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Aug
FC Tokyo
0 : 1 Dortmund
29 Jul
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0 Dortmund
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Monaco 4
PSG 5
Chelsea -
TBD -
Galatasaray 7
Juventus 5
Liverpool -
TBD -
Benfica 1
Real Madrid 3
Manchester City -
TBD -
Dortmund 3
Atalanta 4
Bayern Munich -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam 3
Newcastle Utd 9
Barcelona -
TBD -
Club Brugge 4
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt 5
Inter 2
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Olympiacos Piraeus 0
Bayer Leverkusen 2
Arsenal -
TBD -
1/8-finals
PSG 8
Chelsea 2
Galatasaray 1
Liverpool 4
Real Madrid 5
Manchester City 1
Atalanta 2
Bayern Munich 10
Newcastle Utd 3
Barcelona 8
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham 5
Bodo/Glimt 3
Sporting CP 5
Bayer Leverkusen 1
Arsenal 3
Quarter-finals
PSG 4
Liverpool 0
Real Madrid 4
Bayern Munich 6
Barcelona 2
Atl. Madrid 3
Sporting CP 0
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
PSG 6
Bayern Munich 5
Atl. Madrid 1
Arsenal 2
Final
PSG 2
Arsenal 1
