Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atalanta vs Juventus

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Scamacca G.
(Penalty)
64'
Sub
Gatti F. In: Boga J.
Out: Gatti F.
70'
Sub
Zappacosta D. In: Bellanova R.
Out: Zappacosta D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Atalanta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atalanta
15%
Draws
45%
Juventus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Juventus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Juventus are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Juventus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Juventus, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 22%
Juventus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta Juventus
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Serie A
Atalanta vs Juventus
0:1
Feb 5, 2026 Coppa Italia
Atalanta vs Juventus
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie A
Juventus vs Atalanta
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Atalanta vs Juventus
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Serie A
Juventus vs Atalanta
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atalanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulemana K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pasalic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Juventus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta 24 / 100
Juventus 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta Juventus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Atalanta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Juventus let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta VS Juventus
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta

(Home)
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Bologna
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1
Atalanta
23 Aug
Atalanta
2 : 1
Sassuolo
Page 1 of 6

Juventus

(Away)
17 Sept
Juventus
5 : 0
Nijmegen
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Juventus
1 : 1
AC Milan
29 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Parma
23 Aug
Frosinone
0 : 1
Juventus
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2