Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Kolasinac S.
37'
37'
Cancellieri M.
56'
56'
Sub
Bernasconi L. In: Bellanova R.
Out: Bernasconi L.
AI Match Summary
Lazio in this Coppa Italia 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atalanta average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Lazio's 1.13.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Lazio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 18%
Lazio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atalanta | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2026 Coppa Italia
Atalanta vs Lazio
1:2
Mar 4, 2026 Coppa Italia
Lazio vs Atalanta
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Atalanta
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Lazio
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Lazio
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atalanta Compare
Top Goalscorer Pasalic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lazio Compare
Top Goalscorer Romagnoli A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atalanta 32 / 100
Lazio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atalanta Lazio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atalanta's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Lazio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Atalanta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atalanta VS Lazio
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atalanta
(Home) 26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2 Arezzo
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Atalanta
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1 Bologna
10 May
AC Milan
2 : 3 Atalanta
02 May
Atalanta
0 : 0 Genoa
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2 Arezzo
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1 Bologna
02 May
Atalanta
0 : 0 Genoa
22 Apr
Atalanta
1 : 2 Lazio
11 Apr
Atalanta
0 : 1 Juventus
Page 1 of 3
Lazio
(Away) 26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0 Flaminia
23 May
Lazio
2 : 1 Pisa
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0 Lazio
13 May
Lazio
0 : 2 Inter
09 May
Lazio
0 : 3 Inter
Page 1 of 6
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0 Lazio
04 May
Cremonese
1 : 2 Lazio
22 Apr
Atalanta
1 : 2 Lazio
18 Apr
Napoli
0 : 2 Lazio
13 Apr
Fiorentina
1 : 0 Lazio
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bologna-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Parma-
TBD-
Pescara1
Rimini0
Spezia-
TBD-
TBD-
Sampdoria-
Lazio-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AC Milan-
TBD-
TBD-
Bari-
Lecce-
TBD-
TBD-
Juve Stabia-
Atalanta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Empoli-
TBD-
TBD-
Reggiana-
Genoa-
TBD-
Padova0
Vicenza2
Juventus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Udinese-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrarese-
Cremonese-
TBD-
TBD-
Palermo-
Inter-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Audace Cerignola1
Avellino0
Verona-
TBD-
Venezia-
TBD-
TBD-
Mantova-
AS Roma-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torino-
TBD-
TBD-
Modena-
Pisa-
TBD-
TBD-
Cesena-
Napoli-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monza-
TBD-
TBD-
Frosinone-
Cagliari-
TBD-
Entella4
Ternana0
Fiorentina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Como-
TBD-
TBD-
Sudtirol-
Sassuolo-
TBD-
TBD-
Catanzaro-
1/32-finals
Bologna-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Parma2
Pescara0
Spezia2
Sampdoria1
Lazio-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AC Milan2
Bari0
Lecce2
Juve Stabia0
Atalanta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Empoli2
Reggiana1
Genoa3
Vicenza0
Juventus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Udinese2
Carrarese0
Cremonese0
Palermo1
Inter-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Audace Cerignola1
Verona2
Venezia4
Mantova0
AS Roma-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torino1
Modena0
Pisa1
Cesena0
Napoli-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monza0
Frosinone1
Cagliari2
Entella1
Fiorentina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Como3
Sudtirol1
Sassuolo1
Catanzaro0
1/16-finals
Bologna-
TBD-
Parma3
Spezia2
Lazio-
TBD-
AC Milan3
Lecce0
Atalanta-
TBD-
Empoli1
Genoa3
Juventus-
TBD-
Udinese2
Palermo1
Inter-
TBD-
Verona0
Venezia1
AS Roma-
TBD-
Torino1
Pisa0
Napoli-
TBD-
Frosinone1
Cagliari4
Fiorentina-
TBD-
Como3
Sassuolo0
1/8-finals
Bologna2
Parma1
Lazio1
AC Milan0
Atalanta4
Genoa0
Juventus2
Udinese0
Inter5
Venezia1
AS Roma2
Torino3
Napoli2
Cagliari1
Fiorentina1
Como3
Quarter-finals
Bologna1
Lazio2
Atalanta3
Juventus0
Inter2
Torino1
Napoli1
Como2
Semi-finals
Lazio4
Atalanta3
Inter3
Como2
Final
Lazio0
Inter2
