Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Kolasinac S.
37'
37'
Cancellieri M.
56'
56'
Sub
Bernasconi L. In: Bellanova R.
Out: Bernasconi L.
AI Match Summary
Lazio in this Coppa Italia 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Lazio have won more games recently than Atalanta.
- Atalanta are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Lazio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lazio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 16%
Lazio Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atalanta | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2026 Coppa Italia
Atalanta vs Lazio
1:2
Mar 4, 2026 Coppa Italia
Lazio vs Atalanta
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Atalanta
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Lazio
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Lazio
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atalanta Compare
Top Goalscorer Pasalic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Lazio Compare
Top Goalscorer Romagnoli A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atalanta 41 / 100
Lazio 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atalanta Lazio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atalanta's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Lazio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Atalanta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atalanta VS Lazio
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atalanta
(Home) 12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1 Atalanta
23 Aug
Atalanta
2 : 1 Sassuolo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
23 Aug
Atalanta
2 : 1 Sassuolo
20 Aug
Atalanta
0 : 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 3
Lazio
(Away) 12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2 AC Milan
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2 Lazio
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0 Genoa
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1 Lazio
16 Aug
Lazio
0 : 2 Mantova
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2 Lazio
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1 Lazio
09 Aug
Frosinone
1 : 2 Lazio
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2 Lazio
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0 Lazio
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2
