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Atalanta vs Venezia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atalanta host Venezia in the Serie A. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Atalanta have averaged 1.44 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Venezia's 2.27 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Atalanta have won 4 to Venezia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.19) point toward Venezia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Atalanta
15%
Draws
0%
Venezia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Venezia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atalanta a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atalanta have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 20%
Venezia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atalanta Venezia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.44 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Venezia
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Serie A
Venezia vs Atalanta
0:2
Apr 23, 2022 Serie A
Venezia vs Atalanta
1:3
Jan 12, 2022 Coppa Italia
Atalanta vs Venezia
2:0
Nov 30, 2021 Serie A
Atalanta vs Venezia
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atalanta 85 / 100
Venezia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atalanta Venezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atalanta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Away concern: Venezia has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Venezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atalanta VS Venezia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atalanta

(Home)
20 Sept
Juventus
2 : 0
Atalanta
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Bologna
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1
Atalanta
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Venezia

(Away)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)