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Atarfe Industrial vs CD Alhaurino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Atarfe Industrial and CD Alhaurino finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atarfe Industrial
15%
Draws
49%
CD Alhaurino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Alhaurino come out ahead of Atarfe Industrial on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 20%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atarfe Industrial CD Alhaurino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs CD Alhaurino
2:2
Nov 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Atarfe Industrial
3:1
Apr 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs CD Alhaurino
2:1
Nov 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Atarfe Industrial
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atarfe Industrial 36 / 100
CD Alhaurino 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atarfe Industrial CD Alhaurino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alhaurino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Atarfe Industrial found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Alhaurino let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: CD Alhaurino registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Alhaurino
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atarfe Industrial

(Home)
17 Nov
Huracan Melilla
2 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
18 Aug
Motril
2 : 0
Atarfe Industrial
19 May
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
12 May
Atarfe Industrial
0 : 3
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Mancha
4 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6

CD Alhaurino

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Alhaurino
1 : 2
Melilla
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)