Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atarfe Industrial vs Martos

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atarfe Industrial in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atarfe Industrial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atarfe Industrial
15%
Draws
49%
Martos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Martos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Martos lately — more wins on the board than Atarfe Industrial.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 68%
Martos Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atarfe Industrial Martos
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Martos
2:1
Nov 17, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Atarfe Industrial
1:0
Feb 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Martos
2:0
Oct 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Atarfe Industrial
3:0
Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Martos
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atarfe Industrial 41 / 100
Martos 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atarfe Industrial Martos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atarfe Industrial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atarfe Industrial found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Martos let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Martos registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Martos
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atarfe Industrial

(Home)
17 Nov
Huracan Melilla
2 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
18 Aug
Motril
2 : 0
Atarfe Industrial
19 May
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
12 May
Atarfe Industrial
0 : 3
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Mancha
4 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6

Martos

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Motril
2 : 0
Martos
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)