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Atenas vs Paysandu FC

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Suarez N.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Lopez F.
81' Event
Pesce V.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Atenas and Paysandu FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atenas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Atenas
11%
Draws
9%
Paysandu FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Paysandu FC haven't matched Atenas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Atenas's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atenas Paysandu FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Paysandu FC
3:2
Nov 18, 2006 Segunda Division
Paysandu FC vs Atenas
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Paysandu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pesce V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atenas 86 / 100
Paysandu FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atenas Paysandu FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atenas's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Paysandu FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atenas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atenas VS Paysandu FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atenas1061318:1119
2Cerrito1053215:1318
3River Plate Montevideo1052317:1617
4Colon1043310:915
5Rentistas1042411:1314
6Tacuarembo104248:1014
7Fenix1034314:1213
8Miramar1034314:1213
9La Luz103438:813
10Plaza Colonia1041510:1113
11Club Oriental De Futbol1026215:1312
12Huracan FC103348:1212
13Paysandu FC1031612:1510
14Uruguay Montevideo FC1022610:158