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Atenas vs Sud America - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Nunez M.
83'
Nunez M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2024 game between Atenas and Sud America finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atenas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Atenas
30%
Draws
18%
Sud America
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Atenas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Atenas taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Atenas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%
Sud America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atenas Sud America
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.39 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Atenas
0:1
Jul 28, 2024 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Sud America
1:0
Oct 25, 2023 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Atenas
0:1
Jun 10, 2023 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Sud America
0:0
Mar 25, 2023 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Atenas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sud America Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atenas 95 / 100
Sud America 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atenas Sud America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atenas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Atenas remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Atenas scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Sud America let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Sud America lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atenas VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atenas

(Home)
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
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Sud America

(Away)
16 Nov
Sud America
0 : 1
Atenas
09 Nov
La Luz
4 : 1
Sud America
02 Nov
Sud America
1 : 2
Uruguay Montevideo FC
19 Oct
Rentistas
2 : 0
Sud America
12 Oct
Sud America
2 : 0
Cooper
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