Sport Picks
Ath Bilbao B vs Real Aviles
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 Lezama Facilities, Lezama 
Match Events
23'
23'
Belategi D.
Assist: Huestamendia P.
42'
42'
Montes C.
Assist: Escoruela R.
56'
56'
Pecina A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Ath Bilbao B and Real Aviles finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ath Bilbao B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ath Bilbao B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ath Bilbao B come out ahead of Real Aviles on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Ath Bilbao B Clean Sheet 68%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ath Bilbao B | Real Aviles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 13 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Real Aviles
2:1
Jan 16, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Real Aviles
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Ath Bilbao B
3:2
Aug 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Real Aviles vs Ath Bilbao B
1:2
Mar 12, 2004 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Real Aviles
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ath Bilbao B Compare
Top Goalscorer Belategi D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pecina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Real Aviles Compare
Top Goalscorer Montes C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ath Bilbao B 41 / 100
Real Aviles 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ath Bilbao B Real Aviles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ath Bilbao B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Aviles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Ath Bilbao B remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Ath Bilbao B scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Ath Bilbao B VS Real Aviles
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ath Bilbao B
(Home) 20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Deportivo Fabril
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3 Ath Bilbao B
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1 Real Aviles
29 Aug
Zamora
1 : 1 Ath Bilbao B
18 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 3 Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Deportivo Fabril
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1 Real Aviles
01 Aug
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 0 Leonesa
17 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1 Guadalajara
03 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Ourense CF
Page 1 of 3
Real Aviles
(Away) 19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1 Real Aviles
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1 Real Aviles
28 Aug
Real Aviles
0 : 1 Pontevedra
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2 Gijon B
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1 Real Aviles
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1 Real Aviles
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2 Real Aviles
13 Aug
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 1 Real Aviles
08 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
2 : 1 Real Aviles
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Cacereno | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 10 |
| 3 | Lugo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 5 | Real Union | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 7 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Racing Club Ferrol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 10 | Leonesa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 7 |
| 11 | Deportivo Fabril | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Real Aviles | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 13 | CD Coria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Zamora | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 16 | AD Merida | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 17 | CD Extremadura | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 3 |
| 19 | Arenas Getxo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 1 |
| 20 | UD Ourense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | 0 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
