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Ath Bilbao B vs Real Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Lezama Facilities, Lezama
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ath Bilbao B host Real Union in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Ath Bilbao B have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Real Union's 2.24 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Real Union slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2025, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.63) point toward Real Union. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ath Bilbao B
30%
Draws
23%
Real Union
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ath Bilbao B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Union have won more games recently than Ath Bilbao B.
  • Model gives Ath Bilbao B a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ath Bilbao B Clean Sheet 14%
Real Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ath Bilbao B Real Union
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.19 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Real Union
4:2
Dec 7, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Union vs Ath Bilbao B
3:1
Apr 22, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Ath Bilbao B
2:1
Jan 15, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Ath Bilbao B vs Real Union
0:1
Apr 16, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Union vs Ath Bilbao B
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ath Bilbao B 66 / 100
Real Union 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ath Bilbao B Real Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ath Bilbao B's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Real Union conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ath Bilbao B stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ath Bilbao B VS Real Union
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ath Bilbao B

(Home)
04 Oct
Ath Bilbao B
1 : 3
CD Extremadura
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 7

Real Union

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1
UD Ourense
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Real Union
19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2
Mirandes
13 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
3 : 2
Real Union
05 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 4
Real Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)