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Ath Bilbao vs Getafe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ath Bilbao host Getafe in the LaLiga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ath Bilbao have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Getafe's 0.89 scored and 1.04 conceded. Head-to-head, Ath Bilbao have won 2 to Getafe's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.51, favoring Ath Bilbao. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ath Bilbao
35%
Draws
23%
Getafe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ath Bilbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ath Bilbao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ath Bilbao a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 68%
Getafe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ath Bilbao Getafe
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.69 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 LaLiga
Getafe vs Ath Bilbao
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Getafe
0:1
May 15, 2025 LaLiga
Getafe vs Ath Bilbao
0:2
Aug 15, 2024 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Getafe
1:1
May 3, 2024 LaLiga
Getafe vs Ath Bilbao
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ath Bilbao 59 / 100
Getafe 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ath Bilbao Getafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ath Bilbao remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ath Bilbao's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Getafe let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ath Bilbao VS Getafe
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ath Bilbao

(Home)
17 Oct
Valencia
0 : 0
Ath Bilbao
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid
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Getafe

(Away)
15 Oct
Univ. Craiova
1 : 1
Getafe
10 Oct
Barcelona
3 : 0
Getafe
20 Sept
Getafe
1 : 0
Malaga
17 Sept
Betis
1 : 0
Getafe
13 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 8 8 0 0 34:7 24
2 Atl. Madrid 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
3 Betis 8 6 1 1 14:9 19
4 Real Madrid 8 6 0 2 19:8 18
5 Sevilla 8 4 2 2 13:12 14
6 Real Sociedad 8 4 1 3 12:15 13
7 Alaves 8 3 2 3 12:8 11
8 Dep. A Coruna 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
9 Celta Vigo 8 1 5 2 8:6 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Villarreal 8 2 2 4 13:13 8
12 Espanyol 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
13 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
14 Getafe 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
15 Racing Santander 8 2 2 4 13:23 8
16 Osasuna 8 2 2 4 8:18 8
17 Levante 8 1 4 3 12:16 7
18 Elche 8 1 3 4 11:17 6
19 Valencia 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
20 Malaga 8 0 4 4 4:13 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)