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Ath Bilbao vs PSG

Europe Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Jauregizar M.
30'
Zaire-Emery W.
46'
Sub
Marquinhos In: Zabarnyi I.
Out: Marquinhos

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2025/2026 game between Ath Bilbao and PSG finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ath Bilbao
20%
Draws
33%
PSG
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ath Bilbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • PSG carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ath Bilbao's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 20%
PSG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ath Bilbao PSG
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.83 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2025 Champions League
Ath Bilbao vs PSG
0:0
Dec 14, 2011 Europa League
PSG vs Ath Bilbao
4:2
Sep 29, 2011 Europa League
Ath Bilbao vs PSG
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ath Bilbao 85 / 100
PSG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ath Bilbao PSG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ath Bilbao scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Ath Bilbao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

PSG let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ath Bilbao VS PSG
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ath Bilbao

(Home)
09 Aug
Marseille
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao
01 Aug
Burgos CF
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao
29 Jul
Racing Santander
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao
25 Jul
Ath Bilbao
2 : 2
Eibar
22 Jul
Sestao
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6

PSG

(Away)
08 Aug
PSG
1 : 1
Manchester United
05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
PSG
30 May
PSG
2 : 1
Arsenal
17 May
Paris FC
2 : 1
PSG
13 May
Lens
0 : 2
PSG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23:4 24
2 Bayern Munich 8 7 0 1 22:8 21
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20:8 18
4 Tottenham 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
5 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22:14 16
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17:10 16
7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 15:9 16
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21:12 15
10 Inter 8 5 0 3 15:7 15
11 PSG 8 4 2 2 21:11 14
12 Newcastle Utd 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
14 Atl. Madrid 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
16 Bayer Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
17 Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19:17 11
18 Olympiacos Piraeus 8 3 2 3 10:14 11
19 Club Brugge 8 3 1 4 15:17 10
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8:14 10
22 Qarabag Agdam 8 3 1 4 13:21 10
23 Bodo/Glimt 8 2 3 3 14:15 9
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10:12 9
25 Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 9
26 Pafos 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
27 Royale Union SG 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 8
29 Ath Bilbao 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
31 FC Copenhagen 8 2 2 4 12:21 8
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 4
34 Slavia Prague 8 0 3 5 5:19 3
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 1
36 Kairat Almaty 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)