Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ath Bilbao vs Sevilla

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Berchiche Y.
15' Event
Oso
22'
Peque

AI Match Summary

Sevilla in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sevilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ath Bilbao
30%
Draws
33%
Sevilla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ath Bilbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ath Bilbao haven't matched Sevilla's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Ath Bilbao taking it.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 68%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ath Bilbao Sevilla
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Sevilla
1:3
Jan 24, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Ath Bilbao
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Sevilla
3:2
Mar 16, 2025 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Ath Bilbao
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Sevilla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ath Bilbao Compare

Top Goalscorer Paredes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sevilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Oso
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ejuke C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ath Bilbao 59 / 100
Sevilla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ath Bilbao Sevilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ath Bilbao scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Sevilla has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ath Bilbao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ath Bilbao VS Sevilla
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ath Bilbao

(Home)
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0
Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6

Sevilla

(Away)
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3
Barcelona
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3
Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)