Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ath Bilbao vs Valencia

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Laporte A.
27' Event
Duro H.
Penalty Missed
36'
Sub
Williams N. In: Williams I.
Out: Williams N.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Ath Bilbao and Valencia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valencia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ath Bilbao
6%
Draws
4%
Valencia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ath Bilbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valencia come out ahead of Ath Bilbao on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ath Bilbao a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ath Bilbao Valencia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Valencia
0:1
Feb 4, 2026 Copa del Rey
Valencia vs Ath Bilbao
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Ath Bilbao
2:0
May 18, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Ath Bilbao
0:1
Aug 28, 2024 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Valencia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ath Bilbao Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Valencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadiq U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ath Bilbao 95 / 100
Valencia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ath Bilbao Valencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ath Bilbao scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Valencia has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Ath Bilbao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ath Bilbao VS Valencia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ath Bilbao

(Home)
18 Jul
Leioa
0 : 11
Ath Bilbao
15 Jul
Derio
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao
23 May
Real Madrid
4 : 2
Ath Bilbao
17 May
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Celta Vigo
13 May
Espanyol
2 : 0
Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6

Valencia

(Away)
18 Jul
Petro Atletico
3 : 1
Valencia
23 May
Valencia
3 : 1
Barcelona
17 May
Real Sociedad
3 : 4
Valencia
14 May
Valencia
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
10 May
Ath Bilbao
0 : 1
Valencia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona38311695:3694
2Real Madrid38275677:3586
3Villarreal382261072:4672
4Atl. Madrid382161162:4469
5Betis381515859:4860
6Celta Vigo3814121253:4854
7Getafe381561732:3851
8Rayo Vallecano3812141241:4450
9Valencia3813101546:5549
10Real Sociedad3811131459:6146
11Espanyol3812101643:5546
12Ath Bilbao381361943:5845
13Sevilla381271946:6043
14Alaves3811101744:5643
15Elche3810131549:5743
16Levante381191847:6142
17Osasuna381191844:5042
18Mallorca381191847:5742
19Girona389141539:5541
20Real Oviedo386112126:6029
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)