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Athens Kallithea vs AEL Larissa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2 Grigoris Lambrakis Stadium, Athens
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athens Kallithea host AEL Larissa in the Super League 2. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Athens Kallithea have averaged 1.04 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against AEL Larissa's 1.21 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor AEL Larissa slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.56, favoring Athens Kallithea. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Athens Kallithea
20%
Draws
32%
AEL Larissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athens Kallithea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Athens Kallithea come out ahead of AEL Larissa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Athens Kallithea a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AEL Larissa have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Athens Kallithea Clean Sheet 15%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athens Kallithea AEL Larissa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.04 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Greek Cup
Athens Kallithea vs AEL Larissa
1:3
Apr 2, 2016 Football League
AEL Larissa vs Athens Kallithea
1:0
Nov 22, 2015 Football League
Athens Kallithea vs AEL Larissa
0:1
May 26, 2013 Football League
AEL Larissa vs Athens Kallithea
2:1
Feb 10, 2013 Football League
Athens Kallithea vs AEL Larissa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athens Kallithea 35 / 100
AEL Larissa 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athens Kallithea AEL Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athens Kallithea scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: AEL Larissa conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Athens Kallithea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Athens Kallithea VS AEL Larissa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Athens Kallithea

(Home)
10 Oct
Athens Kallithea
1 : 0
Panthrakikos
28 Sept
Athens Kallithea
2 : 0
Asteras Tripolis B
20 Sept
Athens Kallithea
2 : 1
Panserraikos
12 Sept
Marko
2 : 1
Athens Kallithea
07 Sept
Athens Kallithea
2 : 1
Niki Volos
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AEL Larissa

(Away)
11 Oct
Marko
1 : 0
AEL Larissa
03 Oct
Niki Volos
2 : 2
AEL Larissa
27 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
PAOK B
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 6 6 0 0 12:5 18
2 Panionios 6 4 1 1 7:2 13
3 Athens Kallithea 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
4 AEL Larissa 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
5 Panserraikos 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
6 Ellas Syrou 6 2 3 1 9:4 9
7 Panthrakikos 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
8 Apollon Kalamaria 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Niki Volos 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
10 Asteras Tripolis B 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
11 Karditsa 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
12 Olympiacos Piraeus B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Pyrgos 6 1 2 3 2:6 5
14 PAOK B 6 1 2 3 3:8 5
15 Chrisoupolis 6 1 1 4 5:9 4
16 Zakynthos 6 0 2 4 3:11 2
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