Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletic Bilbao B W vs Rayo Vallecano W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Iribarren A.
79' Event
Elexpuru A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023 game between Athletic Bilbao B W and Rayo Vallecano W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Bilbao B W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Athletic Bilbao B W
35%
Draws
25%
Rayo Vallecano W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Athletic Bilbao B W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Athletic Bilbao B W have managed 0.92 goals a game lately — Rayo Vallecano W are scoring more at 1.03.
  • Athletic Bilbao B W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Athletic Bilbao B W Clean Sheet 17%
Rayo Vallecano W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Bilbao B W Rayo Vallecano W
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.92 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Athletic Bilbao B W vs Rayo Vallecano W
2:0
Jan 15, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Rayo Vallecano W vs Athletic Bilbao B W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Bilbao B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Iribarren A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Rayo Vallecano W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Bilbao B W 39 / 100
Rayo Vallecano W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Bilbao B W Rayo Vallecano W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Bilbao B W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Vallecano W has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Athletic Bilbao B W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Athletic Bilbao B W scored in 54% of their last 37 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Bilbao B W VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Bilbao B W

(Home)
26 Sept
Villarreal W
1 : 1
Athletic Bilbao B W
20 Sept
Athletic Bilbao B W
1 : 0
Tenerife B W
13 Sept
Sport Extremadura CD W
0 : 0
Athletic Bilbao B W
29 Aug
Athletic Bilbao B W
2 : 1
Real Oviedo W
27 Apr
Athletic Bilbao B W
0 : 2
Barcelona B W
Page 1 of 8

Rayo Vallecano W

(Away)
14 May
Rayo Vallecano W
3 : 1
Granadilla Tenerife B W
07 May
Athletic Bilbao B W
2 : 0
Rayo Vallecano W
30 Apr
Rayo Vallecano W
0 : 3
Dep. A Coruna W
23 Apr
CA Osasuna W
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano W
16 Apr
Rayo Vallecano W
1 : 1
Eibar W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B W 30 18 5 7 58:31 59
2 Eibar W 30 13 14 3 31:18 53
3 Dep. A Coruna W 30 15 8 7 52:29 53
4 CA Osasuna W 30 14 10 6 42:23 52
5 Granada CF W 30 14 8 8 40:28 50
6 Cacereno W 30 13 9 8 34:28 48
7 SE AEM W 30 14 5 11 35:30 47
8 Logrono W 30 11 10 9 42:38 43
9 Espanyol W 30 10 10 10 38:35 40
10 Albacete W 30 9 10 11 32:32 37
11 Athletic Bilbao B W 30 11 3 16 34:51 36
12 Rayo Vallecano W 30 9 8 13 31:45 35
13 Granadilla Tenerife B W 30 9 7 14 24:37 34
14 Real Oviedo W 30 7 6 17 28:45 27
15 Cordoba W 30 6 6 18 27:48 24
16 CD Juan Grande W 30 4 7 19 24:54 19
Promotion - Liga F Women 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)