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Athletic Bilbao W vs Alhama W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Lezama Facilities, Lezama
Athletic Bilbao W Logo

Athletic Bilbao W

4 - 1
FT
Alhama W Logo

Alhama W

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Agote D.
Assist: Zaldivar N.
39'
Correa Y.
46'
Sub
Zugasti P. In: Campos A.
Out: Zugasti P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Athletic Bilbao W in this Liga F Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athletic Bilbao W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Athletic Bilbao W
20%
Draws
48%
Alhama W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alhama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Athletic Bilbao W lately — more wins on the board than Alhama W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Athletic Bilbao W Clean Sheet 19%
Alhama W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Bilbao W Alhama W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.33 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Alhama W
4:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga F Women
Alhama W vs Athletic Bilbao W
0:0
Apr 21, 2023 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Alhama W
1:0
Jan 15, 2023 Liga F Women
Alhama W vs Athletic Bilbao W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Bilbao W Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Agote D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Alhama W Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz Leal M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Bilbao W 32 / 100
Alhama W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Bilbao W Alhama W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alhama W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alhama W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Athletic Bilbao W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Athletic Bilbao W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Bilbao W VS Alhama W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Bilbao W

(Home)
03 Oct
Madrid CFF W
2 : 2
Athletic Bilbao W
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
20 Sept
Eibar W
1 : 0
Athletic Bilbao W
12 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
2 : 2
Espanyol W
06 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 1
Athletic Bilbao W
Page 1 of 6

Alhama W

(Away)
04 Oct
Barcelona B W
2 : 0
Alhama W
26 Sept
Alhama W
2 : 1
Albacete W
20 Sept
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Alhama W
13 Sept
Alhama W
4 : 0
Levante W
22 Aug
Alhama W
5 : 0
Almeria W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 30 29 0 1 130:9 87
2 Real Madrid W 30 23 3 4 65:18 72
3 Real Sociedad W 30 20 6 4 61:27 66
4 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 30 14 12 4 49:22 54
5 Atl. Madrid W 30 14 9 7 63:39 51
6 Granada CF W 30 13 6 11 36:42 45
7 Athletic Bilbao W 30 12 8 10 35:44 44
8 Sevilla W 30 12 5 13 33:46 41
9 Badalona W 30 10 9 11 28:46 39
10 Madrid CFF W 30 11 4 15 41:59 37
11 Espanyol W 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
12 Dep. A Coruna W 30 8 7 15 34:54 31
13 Eibar W 30 8 4 18 18:47 28
14 Logrono W 30 4 9 17 29:54 21
15 Alhama W 30 3 5 22 23:78 14
16 Levante W 30 2 3 25 18:62 9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women (Main)