Sport Picks
Athletic Bilbao W vs Atl. Madrid W Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Liga F Women Lezama Facilities, Lezama 
Match Events
1'
1'
Azkona A.
Assist: Ortega S.
6'
6'
Iannuzzi F.
15'
15'
da Silva Rosa L.
AI Match Summary
Athletic Bilbao W in this Liga F Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athletic Bilbao W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Athletic Bilbao W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Athletic Bilbao W have won more games recently than Atl. Madrid W.
- Win probability leans Athletic Bilbao W's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Liga F Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Athletic Bilbao W Clean Sheet 20%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletic Bilbao W | Atl. Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Atl. Madrid W
3:2
Mar 29, 2026 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:2
Feb 4, 2026 Copa de la Reina Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Athletic Bilbao W
4:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Athletic Bilbao W
1:1
May 4, 2025 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Athletic Bilbao W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletic Bilbao W Compare
Top Goalscorer Azkona A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ortega S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Atl. Madrid W Compare
Top Goalscorer Iannuzzi F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gabi Nunes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletic Bilbao W 67 / 100
Atl. Madrid W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletic Bilbao W Atl. Madrid W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Athletic Bilbao W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Athletic Bilbao W scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Atl. Madrid W let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.
Athletic Bilbao W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Athletic Bilbao W VS Atl. Madrid W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletic Bilbao W
(Home) 27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
20 Sept
Eibar W
1 : 0 Athletic Bilbao W
12 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
2 : 2 Espanyol W
06 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 1 Athletic Bilbao W
30 Aug
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 1 Badalona W
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
12 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
2 : 2 Espanyol W
30 Aug
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 1 Badalona W
15 Aug
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 0 Alaves W
09 Aug
Athletic Bilbao W
0 : 0 Logrono W
Page 1 of 4
Atl. Madrid W
(Away) 27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Logrono W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Alaves W
30 Aug
Real Madrid W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
30 Aug
Real Madrid W
3 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
23 Aug
London City Lionesses W
1 : 0 Atl. Madrid W
15 Aug
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
0 : 0 Atl. Madrid W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Madrid CFF W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 3 | Real Madrid W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:13 | 13 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Eibar W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 7 | Espanyol W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Badalona W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 9 | Costa Adeje Tenerife W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Sevilla W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Granada CF W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Logrono W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 13 | Alaves W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 6 |
| 14 | Dep. A Coruna W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 16 | Valencia W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:13 | 0 |
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)
