Sport Picks

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Athletic Bilbao W vs Granada CF W

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Lezama Facilities, Lezama
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Baquerizo M.
59'
Banos L.
63'
Nanclares A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women 2025/2026 game between Athletic Bilbao W and Granada CF W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Granada CF W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Athletic Bilbao W
15%
Draws
32%
Granada CF W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Athletic Bilbao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Athletic Bilbao W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Athletic Bilbao W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga F Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Athletic Bilbao W Clean Sheet 68%
Granada CF W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Bilbao W Granada CF W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Granada CF W
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Liga F Women
Granada CF W vs Athletic Bilbao W
1:5
Mar 9, 2025 Liga F Women
Granada CF W vs Athletic Bilbao W
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Granada CF W
2:1
Feb 3, 2024 Liga F Women
Granada CF W vs Athletic Bilbao W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Bilbao W Compare

Top Goalscorer Elexpuru A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Granada CF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baquerizo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Bilbao W 95 / 100
Granada CF W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Bilbao W Granada CF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Bilbao W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Athletic Bilbao W scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Granada CF W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Athletic Bilbao W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Bilbao W VS Granada CF W
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Bilbao W

(Home)
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
20 Sept
Eibar W
1 : 0
Athletic Bilbao W
12 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
2 : 2
Espanyol W
06 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 1
Athletic Bilbao W
30 Aug
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 1
Badalona W
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Granada CF W

(Away)
26 Sept
Badalona W
0 : 1
Granada CF W
20 Sept
Granada CF W
0 : 3
Dep. A Coruna W
13 Sept
Alaves W
1 : 0
Granada CF W
07 Sept
Granada CF W
3 : 2
Real Sociedad W
29 Aug
Madrid CFF W
3 : 1
Granada CF W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 30 29 0 1 130:9 87
2 Real Madrid W 30 23 3 4 65:18 72
3 Real Sociedad W 30 20 6 4 61:27 66
4 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 30 14 12 4 49:22 54
5 Atl. Madrid W 30 14 9 7 63:39 51
6 Granada CF W 30 13 6 11 36:42 45
7 Athletic Bilbao W 30 12 8 10 35:44 44
8 Sevilla W 30 12 5 13 33:46 41
9 Badalona W 30 10 9 11 28:46 39
10 Madrid CFF W 30 11 4 15 41:59 37
11 Espanyol W 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
12 Dep. A Coruna W 30 8 7 15 34:54 31
13 Eibar W 30 8 4 18 18:47 28
14 Logrono W 30 4 9 17 29:54 21
15 Alhama W 30 3 5 22 23:78 14
16 Levante W 30 2 3 25 18:62 9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women (Main)