Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletic Club Boise vs One Knoxville

USA USA

USL League One Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho), Boise, ID
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Moon N.
Assist: Ricketts J.
24'
Tiao C.
31'
Kostyshyn D.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Athletic Club Boise and One Knoxville finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward One Knoxville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Athletic Club Boise
6%
Draws
90%
One Knoxville
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: One Knoxville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • One Knoxville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans One Knoxville's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 11%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club Boise One Knoxville
Matches Played 22 28
Wins 12 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs One Knoxville
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Moon N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

One Knoxville Compare

Top Goalscorer McRobb F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baker T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club Boise 10 / 100
One Knoxville 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club Boise One Knoxville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club Boise's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

One Knoxville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Athletic Club Boise went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club Boise VS One Knoxville
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Club Boise

(Home)
25 Jul
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
18 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
12 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 0
Sacramento Republic
05 Jul
Westchester SC
0 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
03 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 2
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 5

One Knoxville

(Away)
25 Jul
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
One Knoxville
18 Jul
One Knoxville
2 : 3
AV Alta FC
15 Jul
One Knoxville
2 : 1
Fort Wayne
12 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2
One Knoxville
03 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 2
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha18112529:2135
2Charlotte Independence17103439:2633
3One Knoxville17103430:1733
4Spokane Velocity18102625:2232
5Athletic Club Boise1893627:2530
6Forward Madison1592429:1529
7AV Alta FC1978426:2129
8Chattanooga Red Wolves1591528:1728
9Fort Wayne1776425:1727
10Corpus Christi FC1857621:2622
11Portland Hearts of Pine1755726:2820
12Westchester SC1854928:2519
13Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
14FC Naples18521119:3017
15Greenville Triumph1542914:2514
16Richmond Kickers17331113:3312
17New York Cosmos17321218:3811
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)