Sport Picks
Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Joaquim Portugal, Minas Gerais 
Match Events
4'
4'
Kauan Lindes
Assist: Max
25'
25'
Hygor
Assist: Pedro Souza
32'
32'
Yuri Felipe
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Athletic Club and Botafogo SP finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletic Club
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Athletic Club carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Athletic Club's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Athletic Club have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletic Club | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP
1:1
May 25, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP
2:0
May 12, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletic Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Kauan Lindes
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Botafogo SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Hygor
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletic Club 95 / 100
Botafogo SP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletic Club Botafogo SP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Athletic Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Botafogo SP has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Athletic Club's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Athletic Club remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Athletic Club VS Botafogo SP
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletic Club
(Home) 19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Athletic Club
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4 Novorizontino
20 Aug
Athletic Club
0 : 2 CRB
09 Aug
Athletic Club
2 : 0 Criciuma
Page 1 of 4
Botafogo SP
(Away) 19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3 Novorizontino
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
25 Aug
Atletico GO
3 : 0 Botafogo SP
14 Aug
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1 Botafogo SP
29 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43:31 | 54 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 35:26 | 52 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:27 | 51 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 31:27 | 50 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37:27 | 49 |
| 7 | CRB | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 48 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43:38 | 48 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 30:25 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 42 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 14 | Nautico | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:37 | 41 |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39:43 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
