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Athletic Club vs EC Juventude

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Joaquim Portugal, Minas Gerais
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Vera D.
Assist: Max
30'
Rai Silva
32'
Diogo Barbosa

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Athletic Club and EC Juventude finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Athletic Club
33%
Draws
40%
EC Juventude
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Juventude carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans EC Juventude's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 21%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club EC Juventude
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs EC Juventude
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

EC Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai Silva
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club 29 / 100
EC Juventude 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club EC Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Athletic Club has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

EC Juventude let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Club VS EC Juventude
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Club

(Home)
18 Jul
Atletico GO
0 : 0
Athletic Club
13 Jul
Ceara
0 : 0
Athletic Club
07 Jul
Athletic Club
0 : 1
Operario-PR
28 Jun
Athletic Club
1 : 0
Avai
20 Jun
Londrina
2 : 0
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

EC Juventude

(Away)
17 Jul
EC Juventude
2 : 0
Cuiaba
10 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0
Vila Nova FC
05 Jul
Nautico
0 : 0
EC Juventude
28 Jun
EC Juventude
2 : 0
Ceara
21 Jun
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1
EC Juventude
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma19116223:1239
2Vila Nova FC19104527:2234
3EC Juventude1895419:832
4Operario-PR1895424:2032
5Fortaleza1994622:1931
6Novorizontino1986528:1830
7Goias1884620:2428
8Sao Bernardo1876524:1727
9Sport Recife1869323:1727
10Atletico GO1867519:1925
11Cuiaba1859414:1324
12Athletic Club1859416:1624
13CRB1865728:3223
14Nautico1863922:2321
15Botafogo SP1856720:1821
16Londrina1855825:2520
17Avai1955921:2620
18Ceara1847716:2119
19Ponte Preta18221412:358
20America MG19151313:318
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)