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Stadium Background

Athletic Palermo vs Digiesse PraiaTortora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Bustos F.
74'
Misiano F.
74'
Misiano F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between Athletic Palermo and Digiesse PraiaTortora finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Athletic Palermo
35%
Draws
28%
Digiesse PraiaTortora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Athletic Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Digiesse PraiaTortora haven't matched Athletic Palermo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Digiesse PraiaTortora's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Athletic Palermo Clean Sheet 14%
Digiesse PraiaTortora Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Palermo Digiesse PraiaTortora
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 14 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1.62 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Athletic Palermo vs Digiesse PraiaTortora
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pisciotta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Digiesse PraiaTortora Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustos F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Palermo 27 / 100
Digiesse PraiaTortora 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Palermo Digiesse PraiaTortora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Digiesse PraiaTortora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Palermo scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Athletic Palermo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Digiesse PraiaTortora let in goals in 50% of their last 6 matches.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Palermo VS Digiesse PraiaTortora
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Palermo

(Home)
04 Oct
Gela
0 : 0
Athletic Palermo
27 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Milazzo
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Athletic Palermo
1 : 1
Digiesse PraiaTortora
13 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Enna
Page 1 of 6

Digiesse PraiaTortora

(Away)
04 Oct
Vibonese
2 : 0
Digiesse PraiaTortora
27 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 0
Gela
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Athletic Palermo
1 : 1
Digiesse PraiaTortora
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)