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Athletic Palermo vs Licata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Athletic Palermo host Licata in the Serie D - Group I. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Licata have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Athletic Palermo have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.62. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Athletic Palermo to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Athletic Palermo
35%
Draws
38%
Licata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Athletic Palermo come out ahead of Licata on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Athletic Palermo Clean Sheet 16%
Licata Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Palermo Licata
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.62 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Palermo 31 / 100
Licata 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Palermo Licata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Palermo found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Licata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Athletic Palermo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletic Palermo VS Licata
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletic Palermo

(Home)
04 Oct
Gela
0 : 0
Athletic Palermo
27 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Milazzo
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Athletic Palermo
1 : 1
Digiesse PraiaTortora
13 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Enna
Page 1 of 6

Licata

(Away)
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)