Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletico-PR vs Foz do Iguacu

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
Athletico-PR Logo

Athletico-PR

5 - 0
FT
Foz do Iguacu Logo

Foz do Iguacu

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Viveros K.
Penalty Missed
27' Event
Zapelli B.
29' Event
Viveros K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Athletico-PR
35%
Draws
26%
Foz do Iguacu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Athletico-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Athletico-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Athletico-PR are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Athletico-PR have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Athletico-PR, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Athletico-PR here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Foz do Iguacu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR Foz do Iguacu
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.58 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Paranaense
Foz do Iguacu vs Athletico-PR
1:3
Feb 3, 2026 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Foz do Iguacu
5:0
Jan 25, 2023 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Foz do Iguacu
3:1
Mar 23, 2019 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Foz do Iguacu
2:1
Feb 14, 2018 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Foz do Iguacu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapelli B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viveros K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Foz do Iguacu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR 86 / 100
Foz do Iguacu 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR Foz do Iguacu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletico-PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Foz do Iguacu let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Athletico-PR stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Foz do Iguacu registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletico-PR VS Foz do Iguacu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletico-PR

(Home)
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1
Athletico-PR
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3
Fluminense
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3
Athletico-PR
15 Aug
Athletico-PR
1 : 1
Bragantino
Page 1 of 7

Foz do Iguacu

(Away)
13 Sept
Foz do Iguacu
2 : 2
Londrina B
05 Sept
Azuriz
2 : 0
Foz do Iguacu
29 Aug
FC Cascavel
1 : 3
Foz do Iguacu
07 Feb
Foz do Iguacu
1 : 3
Athletico-PR
03 Feb
Athletico-PR
5 : 0
Foz do Iguacu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Londrina 3
Sao Joseense 2
Foz do Iguacu 1
Athletico-PR 8
Azuriz 0
Operario-PR 4
Coritiba 3
Cianorte 0
Semi-finals
Londrina 3
Athletico-PR 2
Operario-PR 5
Coritiba 4
Final
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1